The case against the Falcons: Put simply, Air Force has already lost games to arguably the two best teams they’ve faced and the rest of the resume isn’t up to par. Only one team has scored more than 20 points against the Air Force defense and they’ve handled business against the teams on their schedule they should beat handily. The case for the Falcons: When things have clicked, the Falcons have looked dominant for long stretches. SP+ rank: 71 | FEI rank: 28 | Sagarin rank: 51 | Strength-of-schedule rank: 97/89 The case against the Aggies: Oh, what might have been: The frustrating losses to Boise State and BYU undercut what has been a decent strength of schedule. If Colorado State and Hawaii can steal wins down the stretch, it makes for a solid, if not spectacular, resume. The case for the Aggies: Margin of victory doesn’t apply to the committee’s deliberations, so Utah State can feel alright about taking a step back to examine their conquests: Washington State has been better than most prognosticators thought they’d be in spite of the Nick Rolovich ouster, and Air Force is hot on the Aggies’ tail in the Mountain division. SP+ rank (through Week 9): 98 | FEI rank: 84 | Sagarin rank: 74 | Strength-of-schedule rank (per Sagarin/Sports Reference): 68/74
Here’s how each current contender stacks up: Utah State Aggies (6-2) If things stay chaotic, then, fortunes for the contenders in the Mountain West could change quickly. 2015 Memphis lost three straight after starting in the driver’s seat, too, and 2018 Fresno State didn’t give itself much of a chance to chase down UCF by losing to Boise State two weeks after debuting in the top 25. You might be tempted to ignore this outright, especially considering that the Cincinnati Bearcats are firmly in the driver’s seat for the Group of 5’s New Year’s Six bowl slot if they don’t land in the top four, but stranger things have happened: East Carolina began 2014 as the G5 frontrunner and promptly lost two straight to fall out of the rankings.
Mountain West football has turned the corner into November and, in addition to the ongoing race for the conference championship, some attention must be paid to one of the unveiling of 2021’s first College Football Playoff rankings on Tuesday. The Bulldogs are a longshot for a New Year’s Six bowl bid, but have they done enough to carve out a place in the playoff committee’s conversation?Ĭontact/Follow It’s about how you finish, but a good start won’t hurt.
College Football Playoff Rankings: Can Fresno State Crack the Initial Top 25?
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